Why are Mortgage Rates so High?
Posted by admin on 08/28/08 in Mortgage Rate News
The Federal Reserve began to slash short-term interest rates almost a year ago. Yet we have higher mortgage rates now than we had then. What gives?
No single answer explains why some rates have fallen while fixed mortgage rates have climbed from an average of 6.43 percent a year ago to 6.6 percent this week. Among the several reasons, you can sum up the main one in two words: credit risk. Lenders behave cautiously now because they lent recklessly in previous years, leading to a surge of foreclosures.
What rates have done
Traditionally, observers noted a link between 10-year Treasury notes and 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: When the 10-year Treasury yield went up, the 30-year mortgage rate went up, and when the Treasury yield fell, so did mortgage rates. That linkage has broken.
Consider two dates, a little over a year apart, when mortgages had the same rates in Bankrate.com’s weekly survey, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped more than a percentage point:
* On Aug. 8, 2007, the 30-year fixed averaged 6.66 percent, and the 10-year Treasury note yielded 4.85 percent.
* Fifty-four weeks later, on Aug. 20, 2008, the 30-year fixed averaged 6.66 percent again — and the 10-year
Between those dates, the Fed made a drastic series of cuts in the federal funds rate. That rate, also called the overnight rate, stood at 5.25 percent a year ago. From mid-September to late April, the Fed chopped it to 2 percent in a bid to stimulate the economy. It remains 2 percent.
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